Sunday, June 7, 2009


It's a report that the Congress leaders are dreading to talk about and is giving them the worst nightmares as far as the situation in Maharashtra is concerned. In what may come as a rude shock to the Congress, a confidential report culled from inputs given by various intelligence agencies has predicted a devastating debacle for the ruling Cong-NCP combine saying the BJP-Shiv Sena will walk away with 28 of the total 48 Lok Sabha seats in the state leaving only half, that is 14 seats for it. Authoritative government sources say that various reasons like voter apathy, resentment against the candidates, dissatisfaction with the ruling combine, and presence of the Maharashtra Navnirman Sena and the Bahujan Samaj Party in the fray were responsible for the likely surprises on May 16, the day the counting takes place. Incidentally, two days ago NCP chief Sharad Pawar said that the results could open a bag of surprises. The report predicts the fall of heavyweights like Milind Deora, Gurudas Kamat in Mumbai. The report is a result of two months of efforts by government officials who mingled with the electorate, attended public rallies, chatted with party cadres, voters, civil and police officials. Here is a look at the predictions made by Intelligence Bureau :
BJP-SS: 28
Cong-NCP-RPI: 14
MNS: 1
Others: 5
Total : 48
Mumbai/Thane: BJP-SS: 6
Cong-NCP: 3
Mumbai North: Ram Naik (BJP) beats Sanjay Nirupam (Cong)
Mumbai North West: Gajanan Kirtikar (SS) beats Gurudas Kamat (Cong)
Mumbai Northeast: Kirit Somaiya (BJP) beats Sanjay Patil (NCP)
Mumbai North Central: Priya Dutt (Cong) beats Mahesh Jethmalani (BJP)
Mumbai South Central: Eknath Gaikwad (Cong) beats Suresh Gambhir (SS)
Mumbai South: Mohan Rawle (SS) beats Milind Deora (Cong)
Kalyan: Anand Paranjape (SS) beats Vasant Davkhare (NCP)
Thane: Sanjeev Naik (NCP) beats Vijay Chowgule (SS)
Palghar: Baliram Jadhav (IND) beats Damudar Shingada (Cong) and Chintaman Vanaga (BJP)
Bhiwandi: Jagannath Patil (BJP) beats Suresh Tawre (Cong)
Konkan: Raigad: Anant Gite (SS) beats AR Antulay (Cong)

While the intelligence bureau report spells disaster for Congress – NCP in Lok Sabha polls, it definitely is bringing smiles to the NCP camp in the Thane constituency as it predicts a victory for their candidate Dr. Sanjeev Naik.

The Intelligence Bureau report comes in complete contradiction of political analysts who say that its advantage BJP-Shiv Sena candidate Vijay Chougule in the Thane constituency. For the IB report is in favour of Dr. Sanjeev Naik predicting that the NCP-Congress-RPI alliance candidate Dr. Sanjeev Naik would beat Shiv Sena BJP candidate Vijay Chougule in the Thane constituency. This report that is a rude shock to Shiv Sena – BJP leadership in Thane constituency has been made after taking inputs of various intelligence agencies. Government officials mingled with the electorate, attended public rallies, chatted with party cadres, voters apart from civil and police officials after predicting this result. If the Intelligence Bureau report does turn out to be true, the Congress and NCP might face their worst nightmares at many constituencies but as far as Thane constituency is concerned, it might just turn out to be a pleasant surprise. And if Dr. Sanjeev Naik does win, the credit of the victory apart from the credentials of the candidate would go to Sharad Pawar four day camp in the constituency towards the end and NCP Navi Mumbai Supremo Ganesh Naik’s goodwill among the masses.

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